Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 39

Severe weather in United States

JayUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 3 July 2026 at 23:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 7th strongest of the 33 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 6:15PM EDT until July 3 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

An estimated 70,087 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Our confidence78%
Coordinates40.3729, -84.9153
Nearest CityMuncie (45 km)
Population Exposed70.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-03T22:15:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e33906a783cb4d1b1268342c5287e00a

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescDarke, OH; Mercer, OH; Jay, IN; Randolph, IN
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 6:15PM EDT until July 3 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
Expires2026-07-03T19:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Wilmington OH
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e33906a783cb4d1b1268342c5287e00a49b61723.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d9fe0f2385dbaf873d89c763178fbaf5c827678f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8df447c339dbd2a92b4030d8d21296be5e027632.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 39/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.